ʻUpena Strategy
Learn · August 24, 2026

Canada Is Down, Japan Is Half-Back: Reading Hawaiʻi’s 2025 Source Markets

Who is actually coming to Hawaiʻi right now — and how the mix shift should change where operators spend.

Not all visitors are the same visitor. DBEDT’s 2025 source-market data shows a mix shift that should change how operators think about marketing spend.

The 2025 mix

  • US West remains the engine — the largest market, roughly four in five of them repeat visitors.
  • Canada softened: about 394,000 visitors in 2025, down 11.6% on the prior year.
  • Japan’s recovery stalled near half of 2019 levels — the yen makes Hawaiʻi expensive, and the market that once filled Waikīkī group tours has not returned to form.

What the mix means for your marketing

The dominant guest is a US West repeat visitor: English-speaking, books on a phone, has been here before, and knows what they want. That guest is the easiest direct booking in world tourism — if you have their email from last trip and your checkout takes four taps.

The weakened international mix also means the OTAs’ strongest argument — global reach into markets you cannot touch — matters a little less right now than it has in years.

Figures: Hawaiʻi DBEDT visitor statistics, 2025.

Naholowaʻa Gramberg
Naholowaʻa Gramberg

Runs Walk Honolulu, his own tour company — and pays the same commission you do. The whole story →

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